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Classical trade theories
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-explain national economy countries-- country advantages-- that enable such exchanges to happen
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New trade theories
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-explain links among natural country advantages, gov action, & industry characteristics that enable such exchange to happen
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International Trade Theories
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-merchantislism
-comparative advantage -product life cycle theory -new trade theory -porter's diamond |
Merchantism (1500-1800)
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-country will gain wealth when exports exceed imports
-goals: *earn gold & silver *gain wealth= store gov's gold & silver *have a trade surplus *max exports through subsidies *limit imports through tarriffs & quotas, or other methods -flaw: "a zero sum game" -today's neo-merchantists= protectionists |
David Hume on Merhantilism
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-is maintaining a trade surplus a feasible goal???
*increased wealth (gold) and exports leads to growth & inflation *imports keep inflation low *result: a country initially exporting utlimatley becomes importer b/c of changes in relative prices *in long run, surplus is self defeating (no one can keep trade surplus) |
Balance of Payment Accounting:
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-an export that brings $ to the exporting country is positive (+)
-an import that causes $ outflow is labeled negative (-) |
Ricardo's Theory: Comparative Advantage
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The world does not consist of two countries and two
goods; no transportation costs assumed; resources are mobile between goods within countries, but not across countries; constant returns to scale; fixed stocks of resources; and no effects on income distribution within countries -diminishing returns show that is is not feasible for a country to specialize to the degreee suggested by this model -believes international trade is determined by producitivity |
Vernon: Product Lifecycle Theory
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-concerns the role of innovation as an advantage in trade patterns
-the product may ultimately be exported back to the country of its orginial origin -source of trade can happen in any country -the locus of global production initially switches from the US to other advanced nations & then from those nations to developing nations |
New Trade Theory (1970s)
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theory that sometimes countries specialize in the production & export of particular products not b/c of underlying differences in factor endowments, but b.c in certain industries the world market can support only a limited number of firms
-deals with the returns on specialization where substaintail economies of scale are present -specialization increase output; ability to enhance economies of scale increases -typically, requires industries with high, fixed costs -world demand will support few competitiors -first mover advantage -very dominant countries due to high start up costs (Boeing) |
Case FOR Trade:
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- Trade is a general win-win, but there are some losers in the short-term. Also a move towards “managed” trade.
- Estimates of the benefits of trade: More than 10 percent of gross domestic product. This translates to a gain in annual income of about $10,000 per household. Unfortunately these payoffs from globalization are hidden within familiar channels: higher wages, lower prices and better product choices. This makes championing trade difficult. - However currently many jobs lost to trade, especially in the manufacturing sector, are not being replaced with same pay |
Case AGAINST Trade:
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-should take care of our own people first (but, US is leading reciepent of FDI)
-race to the bottom for wages (but, why prevent developing countries from growing?) |
"zero-sum game"
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A situation in which an economic gain by one country results in an econmic loss by another
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Heckscher-Ohlin theory
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Pattern of international trade is determined by differences in factor endowments
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Leontief paradox
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Us exports were less capital intensive than US imports
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Free trade
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The absense of government barriers to the free flow of goods & services b/w countries
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